Influence through ignorance

A Novel Private Attitude and Public Opinion Dynamics Model for Simulating Pluralistic Ignorance and Minority Influence

Pluralistic ignorance, a well-documented socio-psychological conformity phenomenon, involves discrepancies between private attitude and public opinion in certain social contexts. However, continuous opinion dynamics models based on a bounded confidence assumption fail to accurately model pluralistic ignorance because they do not address scenarios in which non-conformists do not need to worry ab...

A Model of Conformity to the Perceived Majority

I develop a theory of group interaction in which individuals who act sequentially are concerned about signaling what they believe is the majority group preference. Equilibrium dynamics may result in a perverse situation where most individuals reluctantly act in a way they mistakenly believe is cooperative, a situation known as ‘pluralistic ignorance’. Strong beliefs over others’ views increases...

Regional Policy Evaluation: Ignorance, Evidence and Influence

Decision making under ignorance

Ignorance is an extreme form of uncertainty. In most narrow and technical sense, it means inability to assign a meaningful probability to the phenomena of interest. In more general sense, the state of ignorance is the result of the absence of knowledge about structural factors that influence the issues, the lack of reliable information or inability to completely determine the space of alternati...

Prior Near-Ignorance for Inferences in the k-parameter Exponential Family

This paper proposes a model of prior ignorance about a multivariate variable based on a set of distributions M . In particular, we discuss four minimal properties that a model of prior ignorance should satisfy: invariance, near-ignorance, learning and convergence. Near-ignorance and invariance ensure that our prior model behaves as a vacuous model with respect to some statistical inferences (e....

Pluralistic ignorance: Conceptual framework, antecedents and consequences

Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present, in an integrated manner, the knowledge acquired about pluralistic ignorance in the fields of social psychology, sociology and business. Particularly, to identify the factors that work as antecedents of pluralistic ignorance, as well as its consequences, in various research contexts. Design/methodology: This integrative study on pluralistic ignorance...